Verify performance claims
Screenshots, win rates and the questions a credible record must answer.
A screenshot proves that pixels exist. It does not show account history, deposits, withdrawals, open losses, risk taken, fees or whether the trade was real. Credible evaluation requires a complete and appropriately contextualised record.
Ask for denominator and period
A profit amount is meaningless without capital at risk, time period and drawdown. A win rate needs average win, average loss, costs and a complete sample.
Selection and deletion
Creators can post multiple predictions, highlight winners and quietly delete failures. A time-stamped, complete archive is stronger than a retrospective compilation.
Risk-adjusted context
Compare return with drawdown, volatility, leverage and benchmark. Extraordinary returns generated by catastrophic risk are not equivalent to the same return with controlled exposure.
The lesson in three lines.
- 1Demand period, capital, drawdown and full history.
- 2Win rate alone has little meaning.
- 3Compare return with risk and a suitable benchmark.